Zuckerberg Pushes Meta Into Prediction Markets With Points System
Meta's CEO has directed staff to build a standalone prediction market platform where users wager with points, not cash.
Mark Zuckerberg has reportedly instructed Meta employees to build a prediction market platform that would operate independently of the company's existing suite of apps, according to a report from The New York Times cited by Cointelegraph. The platform would allow users to place wagers on future events using a points-based system rather than real money, a design choice that could help the social media giant navigate the complex regulatory landscape surrounding gambling and financial speculation.
The move signals Meta's growing interest in engagement mechanics borrowed from the broader prediction market space, which has seen a surge in mainstream attention following the success of platforms like Polymarket during recent election cycles. By anchoring the system to points rather than currency, Meta appears to be threading a careful needle — capturing the behavioral pull of forecasting markets without triggering the legal exposure that comes with real-money wagering across dozens of jurisdictions.
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For Meta, the strategic logic is straightforward: prediction markets are demonstrably sticky. Users who have skin in the game — even hypothetical skin — tend to return more frequently and engage more deeply. That kind of durable, habitual engagement is precisely what advertising-dependent platforms need to justify attention and, ultimately, ad revenue. A standalone app also suggests Meta wants to test the concept without risking the brand equity of Facebook or Instagram if the experiment underperforms.
What remains unclear is how Meta plans to differentiate its offering from existing play-money platforms, or whether a points system can generate the same intensity of engagement as real-money markets. The company has not publicly confirmed the initiative, and key details — including a timeline, target audience, or monetization strategy — have yet to emerge. Observers will be watching closely to see whether Zuckerberg's track record of borrowing successful formats from competitors, then scaling them aggressively, plays out once again.
Continue reading at Cointelegraph.